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  • Dropping drafts

    I’m a pretty good sketcher of words and ideas, but a terrible completer of posts: making sure that the ideas make sense and connect properly, trying to get the wording and the feel right, trying to draw conclusions and lessons from whatever experiences or thoughts I am trying to describe; sometimes even deciding which service to post things on (a ridiculous situation, in all honesty) - that’s all hard work, and sometimes I just don’t feel that I have the energy to complete it.

    As a result, my pool of drafts begins to overflow and prevents me from really finishing.

    So, in the spirit of draining the pool and refreshing my perspectives, here’s a dump of my most current drafts, cross-posted on Blogger and on my Micro.blog instance!

    Rethinking which services I should keep, and why, is something for another day.


    A review of Umberto Eco’s The Island of the Day Before

    created 2023-09-06

    This is a most typically Umberto Eco book, of an unknown, uncertain narrator reconstructing the putative, fragmentary notes of a shipwrecked passenger of a sailing ship, weaving them into an improbably rich, thoughtful, infuriating and nebulous narrative.

    Had I not read Six Walks in the Literary Woods, Eco’s talks on his theories of narration, including the constructs of the Model Author and the Model Reader, had I not already re-read The Name of the Rose and Foucalt’s Pendulum, I may well have given up on this book.

    Is Agile agile?

    created 2023-09-28

    I remember years ago reading about an almost unbearably enlightened concept in project management called Agile. I wished, as we trudged along those familiar, well-worn yet somehow always overgrown, brambly and muddy paths through gates and past millstones - sorry, milestones - towards yet another similar product launch in the automotive industry, that we could put those paths behind us and start afresh, be agile.

    The name itself was glorious, tantalising, joyful, even, bringing to mind fleetness of foot and unbounded creativity with the goal of bringing something new and fresh to the world.

    That, I had to admit, didn’t seem to very closely describe the world I worked in. With Agile’s origins in infinitely malleable software, I knew I would never personally experience agile project management. Herding recalcitrant parts into vehicles was always going to be an uneasy fit with agile methods, I was sure.

    I would never experience agile; until I suddenly did, at my new company in a new industry - and I have some thoughts I’d like to share.

    No, agile is not agile

    What I can say, after five cycles of sprints, workshops, reviews, retrospectives and planning is: the method never for a moment felt agile.

    In our short training course we learned how we could achieve a goal even within the constraints of stupidly and very artificially short development cycles. Rapid feedback loops would trump planning and design (which always leads to trial and error anyway).

    But the way I experienced our agile project was remarkably rigid. We brainstormed a load of User Stories against an equally brainstormed set of OKRs (Objectives and Key Results), which formed the “Backlog” (even though they weren’t at that time uncompleted or delayed, which is my usual term for items that are in backlog), then dumped a load of them into the first Sprint.

    That Backlog was in one sense the Prologue to the whole project, and our very own, self-defined Millstone.

    Now, of course we weren’t totally naive about it: we knew which User Stories represented basic functionality and which would naturally come later, once these basics were sorted. But a number of difficulties with our systems meant that we got bogged down even at that early stage and the prospect of closing off User Stories in an acceptable and documented fashion diminished day by day.

    And then, suddenly, it was time for the Sprint Review, for the Retrospective from that Sprint and planning for Sprint 2, with the Backlog looming like some Godzilla of Not Done, no paradigm of agility.

    We were able to add User Stories as other issues cropped up, and we did in the end discover that some User Stories were irrelevant or completely incapable of being completed with the systems we were working with: these were ultimately tagged with “Won’t Do” rather than Done.

    But that initial setting of User Stories set our path in just as rigid a manner as the traditional “Waterfall” method, and I even began to think that the Waterfall has some benefits like repetition of tasks and documentation for each milestone, ensuring that they mature with the project, rather than being looked at once, documented and dumped.

    What did I learn?

    This is a key question for any initiative and is built in to the Agile method in the guise of the Retrospective.

    …. another beginning

    At work I - with the team, of course, it couldn’t be any other way - recently completed my third ever sprint review, took part in its corresponding retrospective (the cool kids say just “retro”), and planned for the fourth sprint, by reviewing and prioritising the backlog.

    To put that into context, I am now - finally! (I can no longer write “Finally” without thinking of Vaughan William’s A Sea Symphony) - involved in my very first “agile” project, and I’m at least getting used to the jargon. But, is it as good and as efficient and energising as I imagined it to be, back when I was on the outside, jealously looking in?

    From the confines of automotive industry projects and the traditional task-and-milestone mills that were our project styles, I would hear and read of some distant enlightened lands of agile project management: from where I stood, agile appeared desirable, enjoyable, more efficient, “better”: today I wonder if this is really the case.

    As with any , including training that included the agile manifesto, descriptions of sprints, retrospectives, workshops and all of those good things - or at least a variant (the purists would no doubt say ‘deviant’) of it - at work, and I have some issues with it.

    I’m also somewhat distracted by the vocabulary, especially the notion of the word “backlog."

    Before starting the project, the word backlog felt wrong to me: it implies work that behind its planned completion date and is building up through some form of bottleneck, whether this be . Before kick-off, backlog is prolog(ue)

    This Guardian opinion piece on the British NHS, or, more generally, this search: (NHS backlog site:theguardian.com) for articles containing the words “backlog” and “NHS” in the Guardian, or this article referring to the backlog of asylum applications in the UK really give a sense of what I mean

    Now that we’re a sprint in, and we see what we had collected as “to-do’s” and did and didn’t complete in that first sprint, we see the collection of unedited “User Stories” that really does act as a mass to be reduced. A backlog, perhaps, but also a mountain of ice cream needing to be eaten spoonful by planned spoonful

    User Stories are not tasks

    Project Management is a technology, a process, a human-made artefact, which also enforces a lot of documentation (that most people in the world won’t read)

    Engineering engineering

    created 2023-10-14

    really for my Literally Engineering engineering blog

    I tumbled literally not engineering into the New Year 2023.

    Now working again, a confirmed escapee from the automotive industry, I find myself contentedly and, by my own reckoning, at least, gainfully installed in the engineering community of a medium sized company making sensors for industrial applications.

    I also find myself wondering whether I might still actually be literally not engineering.
    Information wrangler

    My new working environment, beyond the desk, the chair and the coffee machine, is digital. I no longer handle parts or discuss testing in the lab. Instead, I deal almost exclusively with data and information: electronic representations of real, or potentially real, things (sensors that other companies buy), and with “non-things” like methods, guidelines, specifications and communications.

    Through this last point, clearly I do deal a great deal with the very real, the occasionally thoroughly perplexing and frequently enriching interactions with my colleagues and other humans in all their complexity.

    In this combination, my role combines both forms of knowhdge characterised by Aristotle that I’ve been focussing on, techne and phronesis, which refer to making (in the original sense of the crafts) and practical politics respectively.

    Aside from the physical handling of parts both new and old in my previous job, is this any different?

    In one respect, no, it’s not very different: the technical drawings that I used to produce, or, better, have produced for me) are informational representations and intentions of something that should ultimately end up being made, manufactured, turned real. But my current position puts me at at least one remove further from our final product. I help to ensure that our data and (data + meaning + truth or accuracy = ) information ends up in the right form and location, with sufficient accessibility and searchability that it is useful to those colleagues of mine who do work on products that will ultimately be manufactured, sold and put to constructive use in industry and society.

    Gotta role with it

    My position currently consists of three main roles: representing mechanical engineering in our company’s new PLM initiative, updating and managing our design guidelines, and, closely linked to those, managing our CAD systems, methods, and - surpise! - data (servers, databases, etc).

    This new working world of mine has an expanded ontology compared to the previous one, in that I now also have dealings with two additional domains, electronics and software. These, too, work mainly informationally (electronics schematics creating the general logic, plus the software and firmware that tame the chips).

    These domains can be seen as models for my own new sense of engineering, if engineering is what it is that I do. They construct “devices” that work according to particular rules and logic, to meet certain goals, within a largely technical domain.

    They make use of tools and consider ways of testing their output against predetermined requirements and - that word again - constraints (price, availability, approvals, maturity, etc).

    In total, this set of roles raises the question for me: what of that is engineering?

    Intriguing devices

    If electronics and software can be considered as “devices”, then so could the objects and elements that I work on: the outputs of my work are not physical but logical devices of varying complexity, that need tweaking, tuning and, occasionally an overhaul or complete replacement.

    To be able to do any of that, I need to understand their mechanisms, weak points, inconsistencies and failures - just like in any engineering context.

    I can consider as actually being secondary to their actuality in the engineering environment as actually being secondary to their actuality in the engineering environment.
    Infra-engineering

    Like infrared or infrastructure, infra-engineering is my imagined term for the work done “below” engineering, to support it. Foundational engineering , we could call it.

    What of what I do is engineering? This is where my uncertainty regarding the definition of engineering itself requires that I attempt to break things down into sensible components to see if, during reassembly, any parts or subassemblies look like engineering as I understand or have experienced it.
    A more philosophical stance

    One attraction of where I now stand in the engineering landscape is that I can view the whole more philosophically than before. I can use the term “ontology” in both the technical, “PLM” sense of listing out the parts that we have, and in the more philosophical sense of “what are we dealing with here, exactly?” This would include discussion of our beliefs in PLM entries representing physical products, those entries including thumbnail images of CAD models of those components ; or, indeed, considering CAD assemblies as mere containers for the components, plus positional relationships.

    It can all get me back to the very beginnings of this blog, considering the writings of Gilbert Simondon , and his considerations of concrete and abstract parts.

    Outputs

    Perhaps the clearest way of investigating the essence of my work is to ask what I will be “producing.” For a “true” engineer, the product would be clear: designs and specifications according to which items could be made and sold to a market.

    Rather than items that can be sold onto a market, I am helping to design the environments in which our engineers work. My customers are my own colleagues, the engineers - and they can be demanding! In addition to designing that environment, I’ll also be documenting it and specifying how these colleagues will work: I have to define both the path and the handrails / safety railings for it.

    That sounds very bureaucratic, I’ll admit. But here, too, is a question: are bureaucracies engineered?

    Outputs
    • A realistic, understandable and internally marketable (acceptable) system and structure for storing and linking engineering data with other and with non- engineeing data.
    • Workflows
    • Administrative constraints and guardrails
    • Specifications
    • An organised knowledge base
    • Installed, tested and approved software
    • Tested and approved methods for working with that software
    so, whilst I no longer deal with labs, I certainly deal with testing: I write (or at least imagine) test scripts, and I record the results in text, screen shots and screen captures.

    A digital Dewey

    The obverse of outputs is of course the inputs that I need to consider. Now, since I’m not personally generating much of the data, but figuring out how best to organise and present it, like a digital Dewey for libraries, my inputs are the platform that we must tune to our needs, representative data for testing, and in Agile project management speak, User Stories and challenges, known issues and ways of working, that need to be selectively reimplemented or optimised, or bypassed, with the new systems.

    There’s a train of thought that the administrations, procedures, methods and laws of modern society are themselves forms of technology. And technologies are engineered.

    Here, I am still defining and specifying how our CAD engineers will work, including fruitfully constraining choices in terms of things like material selection, design for injection moulding and the like. These outputs will be the design guidelines and standards to which our engineers should or must adhere.

    On the PLM front, I’m helping to define the form of engineering data and collaboration on that data within the confines of a pre-existing PLM structure.

    Tools and methods

    • Graphing and flow charts, procedures and guidelines
    • Ways of thinking and interpretation

    Thinking as an engineer who does rather like to minimise bureaucratic effort. Lifecycle and maturity states. Drawings and metadata. Relations, links and causality.
    Knowing what we need to prove, our affordances

    Handling our CAD data, our releases, reports - and the network of components, assemblies that ultimately lead to products being sold on the market.

    Action and agency

    In this role I do quite a lot. Testing to understand the limits and constraints of our systems.
    How else would I describe it?

    If what I do at work is not engineering, then what is it? Luciano Floridi refers to philosophy as conceptual design… So, could what I am doing at work, as well as here, in this post, be referred to as philosophy?

    Or a chemistry of engineering: picking the atoms of information and turning them into valuable molecules, rigid crystals or flexible polymers of information that undergird the products that we make.

    Perhaps I’m operating as a lawyer of technical information, determing what’s “right” in engineeringly “legal” ways.

    The classic analogy for this sort of work is to the architect: someone who, combining innate, but trained, aesthetics with technical understanding and realism, creates - in combination with a vast range of experts - a new structure that can be used by many people over time.
    Design engineer

    I am a designer of engineering methods. The basic software elements are already present, the systems made available by companies larger than our own. But we need to select the

    … and I didn’t get further than that (yet)

    Jeptha (a Handel oratorio)

    created 2023-10-31

    Last Saturday, on the 28th October, I sang in my second Bachchor concert in the Peterskirche Heidelberg. Once more in English, though notably less heavy than Vaughan Williams’s A Sea Symphony, this time we were singing Handel’s final oratorio, Jeptha.

    Wikipedia, with its patience of multitudes, has a much more informative summary on Jeptha than I could presume to write, so I won’t go into the details here.

    We had an excellent young lineup of soloists, including an emerging talent in the English tenor Gwilym Bowen , who sang the title role.

    I did end up wondering about the political implications of the message contained in the story of Israel’s victory.

    Employment (and) agency

    created 2023-12-04

    This time last year, in December 2022, I was coming to the end of my employment at Cooper Standard. The company was doing what alert companies do, reconfiguring the business to focus on growth areas, and my expertise in threaded fasteners and coatings was no longer considered to be of sufficient value to retain in an increasingly plastics world. Some discussions on timing and payout later, I was to leave at the end of the year.

    It’s interesting to look back on that time of wrapping up: calling key contacts to let them know that I’d be moving on, reminiscing on fun and challenging times, wondering what gardening leave would be like; and, of course, digging out the CV to give it a good old refresh, and starting to wonder what I wanted to do next.

    Even with the buffer of gardening leave, hope and expectation were tinged by uncertainty. What sort of industry would I end up working in, and would I be able to hold to certain standards (no military, no fossil fuels, for example) indefinitely? How big a commute would I accept, having been able to cycle to work for all those years? Uprooting the family wasn’t really a consideration, but the idea did lodge itself at the back of my mind, along with that other associated mental paraphernalia of leaving a position without having a new one already lined up - including starting the unemployment process in time, in - gasp! - Germany*.

    That combination of hope mixed with unease at the directionlessness I was faced with (my pending gardening leave may have felt enticing, but it still led nowhere), held a certain diffuse meaning that it’s worth reflecting on now.

    The value of work is grounded by predictability and security. If these are lacking, as they are in so many areas like the arts, or catering, or fixed-term contracts, and for those brave enough to set out as consultants, then you’re permanently on shifting ground, seeking balance, always having to stay alert for new opportunities and less able to switch off, to reflect and - in the extreme case - to appreciate the good things in life.

    Fundamentally, it’s about having agency, being able to decide your own path, in your own time, on your own terms, resulting in Action - taking Hannah Arendt’s interpretation of the word - in which a person has the opportunity to show who (rather than “what”) they are.** Merely enacting (carrying out) jobs doesn’t suffice for action in this sense, which is why so many jobs can be unsatisfying, even when they are settled on a baseline of security.

    Now, writing this in the luxury of a secure position, in which both I and the role(s) I have at Pepperl+Fuchs are developing, and with the buffer of time behind me, I can admit that the timing of my leaving Cooper Standard was right for both parties - sometimes inertia sets in and we don’t quite reach the threshold for action, requiring an external impetus to get us going again.

    How should I summarise this post, then? What’s its moral? Just to make us aware again of who we are in the working world, to be appreciative of security, to be wary of dulling ourselves, and aware of all the other factors that play a role in our decisions, especially, of course, the people and society we live in.

    * The Arbeitsamt turned out to be an excellent institution, proactive and leaving me to my own thing in the right degrees, and remarkably uncomplicated, once I got the hang of their website!

    ** This perspective taken from one of my favourite philosophical books, Back to the Rough Ground, by Joseph Dunne, chiefly about forms of technical and practical/political knowledge.

    → 7:53 PM, Dec 26
  • The Brexit FMEA


    The Brexit pre-mortem: BFMEA


    Of all the engineering tools that I have encountered, the one that spans the widest spectrum of respect and scorn, hope and despair is the FMEA, the Failure Mode and Effects Analysis.


    Developed by the US military and NASA and gradually adopted by the automotive industry from the 1970s onwards, it is intended to highlight things that could go wrong before they do; it's also a way of collecting and tracking the evidence (models, test reports, etc) that shows that the nuts and bolts have been proven before putting them on a rocket - or, indeed, jettisoning a country out of the European Union.


    At its heart, the FMEA is a "what if?" analysis. Other methods are available, like the Potential Problem Analysis from Kepner-Tregoe. But I'm automotive, and the FMEA is a requirement in our field, so I've sketched up how a BFMEA (Brexit Failure Mode and Effects Analysis) might have been constructed and eventually look like. Why? Because I simply don't get the impression that the British government perceived the need for any such thinking before diving in to the apparently urgent political necessity that was the Brexit referendum result. And also, because sketching one up isn't all that hard - with practice.

    Building the structure


    First of all, you need to define what your product or system is, perhaps by following what was defined in the project scope (ABQP). The FMEA might be for a full system, or it might be for an individual component that fits into that system: For our purposes now, it's Brexit. Brexit has a few functions and requirements that I cobbled together in five minutes (naturally with no little help from hindsight):

    What could possibly go wrong (failures)?


    With an FMEA, you focus on failures first and foremost (it can be a depressing trudge, initially, which is why engineers are always so miserable. Are we? We must be). Put yourself in Law-maker Murphy's shoes, maybe even his socks and underwear, too. The fresh ones.






    Then "all" you need to do is to go through each of your functions, wishes, desires, needs, etc: and define all the ways they can fail (one more example here):


    How could it come to this (causes)?


    If failures are the symptoms, then causes are the bugs that deserve our attention. 

    Again, with every failure having its very own potential cause, or causes, we need to repeat the trudge around the houses. I've kept it relatively simple here:

    Somebody will have to do something about this (actions)!


    The whole point of the FMEA is to discover potential failures and to cut them off at the source: we don't want those bugs getting in that resulted in us hollering into the toilet bowl. So the positive aspect of the FMEA is assigning to-dos to each cause, like "make sure you wash your hands before eating", with the intention of preventing those causes from occurring in the first place (absent a time machine):


    So much to do! Where to start (Effects)?


    There's one letter we haven't touched in the FMEA yet: the E. Effects. Determining what happens as a result of the failures can be useful in figuring out what actions should be prioritised. You might for example preferentially allocate work on avoiding failures that would otherwise result in conflict on the Irish border over events that would lead to slightly less curved cucumbers still landing on British shores.


    But understanding where to prioritise political effects (disgruntlement amongst 48% of voters, for example) is beyond my realm of experience, and represents a clear disconnect between the "plodding reality" of engineering and the human rationality (in all its technical irrationality) that defines politics. Some things might not be "prioritisable" at all. At least until someone works out an official Happiness scale that would be able to balance lots of low-level general contentment (hey, being in the EU isn't actually all that bad most of the time) against intense doses of uproar (they're defining cucumbers again!). Do I digress? I believe I do.

    Presenting the BFMEA


    Typically, FMEAs aren't presented in the network style that I employed to build mine: the traditional method is the worksheet, which typically leads teams to try and build them in Excel or similar. This is what mine would look like in that format.



    It's OK, but a bit sterile. Which is I suppose how it should be. Right? "Real" FMEAs have ratings numbers that help in the prioritisation of tasks, which I have omitted here.

    Build and forget?


    The FMEA is intended to be a so-called "living document". As new events occur and lessons are (ha!) learned; as new and fantastical failure modes with subtle, complex, causes are discovered, the FMEA grows: often becoming unmanageable, or at least rather unwelcoming in the process. Unless someone or some team is really "living" complex FMEAs as a role, they will bulk up, dry out and fossilise.


    In one sense, that's not necessarily a bad thing: if at least in the act of setting it up important considerations were made in that emotionless setting, potentially resulting in actions being taken that avoided some grand faux pas or other, then it will have been useful without too much investment in resources.

    Do they? Can they?


    It would be fascinating to find out what methods the British Government has at its disposal (and which were used thus far): because, to all appearances, they weren't.


    Perhaps they're saving them for the debates surrounding the re-entry into Europe, then.

    BFMEA network and other points


    Here's the network FMEA that I built up over the weekend. To those engineers reading this who are experienced in FMEA methods: I acknowledge the existence of Occurrence and Detection items. I didn't bother with ratings, as FMEAs can really get bogged down with them - but some sort of prioritisation is required, of course. To those outside of my industry: have you encountered similar "constricted thinking" methods? It would be fascinating to hear from you!



    → 8:28 PM, Mar 20
  • ABQP: Brexit as an automotive project


    ABQP: Advanced Brexit Quality Planning


    It is surely doing the British Civil Service an injustice to suggest that there was no planning process for Brexit. However, what we see in the media strongly suggests that whatever planning did take place was swiftly overcome by politics: the votes upon votes in Parliament, the pontificating and hardening of views, the dreams shattered and still dearly held. We hear of Papers stating one potential outcome or another, but the feeling remains of a Brexit ship veering ponderously from port to port, turning away from each in disgust without ever reaching one.


    I'm an automotive engineer, and could imagine Brexit being an automotive project; there would (in my imaginings, anyway) have been a clear baseline for planning, thinking, moulding, approving or even cancelling the project before it's too late.


    Comparing Brexit with a VW Polo facelift? Ridiculous! Well, yes, but I feel there are some lessons in the processes that we use in industry that might have been better learned before embarking on this huge undertaking. (Otherwise I won't have writting this, I suppose).


    Naturally, the advantage that the auto industry has over the Brexit project is that it can produce many models and, with experience, assuming the company survives (which many didn't ), see what sticks. Brexit is a one-shot action that will take decades to mould after the event. But, anyway, here are my thoughts on the Brexit Project from an automotive perspective:

    APQP: Advanced Project Quality Planning


    Every automotive company has its own flavour of APQP, but the basics are defined and even - of course - available on Wikipedia. Some key aspects that I would highlight here would be:

    • Planning and Defining the Program
    • Product Design and Validation
    • Understanding the needs of the customer
    • Analysing (/predicting) and mitigating failure

    It's a plodding, check-box laden process and certainly not in the vogueish agile development process domain - but therein lies its strength as well as tedious weakness: it enforces slow, measured and team-based thinking, rather than snap decision-making.


    Irrespective of whether I think Brexit is a good idea or not, the process appears to have been entrained without even a basic level of planning. Was there any sensible product definition of Brexit before kicking off Article 50 and the two-year negotiation period? (Leave Means Leave is not a helpful definition, at least in my book).

    Advanced Brexit Quality Planning: A light-gloom-hearted ABQP Statement Of Work


    Project Name


    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland to exit the EU.

    Project Scope


    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland intends to leave the EU. No other countries will leave the EU. All components of the UK shall leave the EU, including Gibraltar and the Channel Islands. The UK intends not to bow to EU regulations. This normally means not having the same level of access to the European market as available at present. The UK intends to keep the same level of access to the European market. Leaving the EU means developing new alignments with... well, every country in the world, as well as with the EU.

    Project Type


    APQP: Advanced Product Quality Planning with 5 Phases.

    1. Plan and Define Program
    2. Product Design and Development Verification
    3. Process Design and Development Verification
    4. Product and Process Validation and Production Feedback
    5. Launch, Assessment & Corrective Action

    Phase 1: Plan and Define Program


    1.1 Identify the needs of the customer


    1.1.1 Identify the customer


    The customer is all citizens of the UK (including those younger than 25 at the time of voting who, though disproportionately affected, voted at a significantly lower rate their older, perhaps more caring compatriots). Citizens of other EU countries in the UK will... have to lump it. British citizens resident in the EU will... have to lump whatever treatment they are given wherever they are living (they deserve it, the traitors) until such time as they return to the fold.

    1.1.2 The needs of said customer


    Right. Those needs. Yes. It is absolutely clear that all inhabitants of the UK want the best possible deal. In fact, they want more than the best possible deal, they want the best of everything, which is what was promised.


    Also: no more immigrants and no more being told how to run a country by a democratically-challenged council of flouncing Eurocrats.


    And: no European Superstate.

    1.2 Develop timing plan


    Target date: Open-end until Article 50 is invoked, so plenty of time to develop a statement of work, specifications and requirements, a strategy and tactics to achieve an acceptable level of that target.

    Article 50 has been invoked


    Wha...?

    Deadline is now May 2019.


    You're kidding... Umm, on what grounds was Article 50 invoked?

    None that anyone can discern; negotiations will be the easiest ever anyway. There was something about the EU not showing its hand until Article 50 had been invoked: unhelpful gamesmanship, a trap that the British Government, gleefully bellowing "freedom from!" fell into


    1.3 Develop Budget


    The EU will be on their knees in a few months. So no real budget is required, no contingency planning, just a few negotiators and the rest is a win for us!

    1.4 Assemble Team


    See 1.3 above, OK, plus their advisors. No need to listen to the people any more, they've had their vote. And we don't need experts any more, either. We'll ignore the Civil Service, too.

    Phase 2: Product Design and Development Verification


    2.1 Develop Product requirements


    The Brexit product requirement is... Leave! OK, more seriously, there might be some relevant functions of Brexit that we might want to consider:

    • Restore / Increase British national autonomy
    • Restore / Increase national togetherness
    • Significantly reduce immigration
    • Increase internal investment (e.g. NHS)
    • Retain and protect UK integrity (e.g. Northern Ireland)
    • Protect inter-Irish peace
    • Avoid becoming part of the EU Superstate

    Are these measurable? Most are. The intangibles (national togetherness) will need more definition as the programme progresses. Can they be modelled? What sort of Brexit would result in maximising the wins across the maximum number of functions?

    Predicting and mitigating failures (BFMEA)


    The FMEA (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis ) is a key engineering tool, initially developed by NASA with the intention of foreclosing failures before they occur.


    NASA was also a specialist in one-shot efforts.


    ... but that we'll save that for my next post.

    Phase 2 (Continued)


    Oh never mind: Phase 2,3,4 Finished!


    LAUNCH

    → 9:44 PM, Mar 17
  • The unvalidated state

    The unvalidated state

    Well, that all went somewhat awry, didn’t it?

    I must confess that I was prepared neither for the result of the referendum on Thursday 23rd June nor for its impact on my state of mind. I spent most of Friday, 24th June 2016, in a strangely blank pall of frustration, disbelief, even - briefly - anger, plus an element of intrigue at what the future will bring. Such a complex bubbling brew of emotions will take some time to subside as this weekend peters out into another week, the first of a long, long series of weeks, months and years bringing ructions and repercussions in my homeland along with administrative hurdles and considerations of nationality for me personally.

    Questioning our sanity

    Did 52% of Britons really, actively, vote to exit the EU? It doesn’t seem that way: the EU was never really the point during the less than savoury referendum campaign. Those who voted for Leave were sold a dream of “reclaiming our sovereignty” without being told why the EU was bad for them personally, nor what would be improved for them personally once Britain left the EU. Did 48% really vote for the EU, or were they simply hoping for the relatively quiet life of being able to travel, work, study, buy and sell within what has become a large and appealingly non-homogeneous patchwork of countries whilst tacitly accepting the bewilderingly opaque bureaucratic apparatus that enables it?

    Was the referendum correctly set up in the first place? Was 50% the correct limit for such a momentous decision, or should it have been 2/3rds? Should oldies - pensioners - have been allowed to vote at all? Can’t the Queen step in and say: “you bally idiots, it’s our (Queen’s perogative) country and we shall stay in the EU, if only so that one won’t have to produce one’s passport when travelling to one’s castle in Balmoral.”?

    Whatever the answers to these questions, we are now left in the precarious position of Britain being a product sold yet never tested or proven out. We don’t even know if it will remain intact over the coming years: in engineering terms, it’s a state that was never validated before it was introduced to the customer.

    Trial by error

    The Leave campaign was based on disassociated presumptions that were packed into sentences in such a way as to sound like a way for the disaffected English middle to break free of - something - and to arrive at a much better - something else. Unfortunately, the Remain campaign was equally pathetic, having realised fairly early on (presumably in the split second after David Cameron announced the referendum), that the EU is impossible to be passionate about these days.

    Neither side made any attempt made to list out the various implications of each necessary step towards leaving the EU, and could therefore make no list of mitigating measures to prevent the worst of those repercussions hitting the UK as hard as it might.

    The UK’s relationship with Europe and the rest of the world will have to be hammered out in real-time as uncertainties - and some avoidable certainties - cause unpleasant and unforeseen things to happen.

    The future UK will only become what it will be once everything that might happen to it has happened to it. And not much of that will have been properly thought through before the 23rd of June - it certainly won’t adhere to the peddaled flickers of a dream of a greater, better, Britain.

    What now? A question to self

    There still seems to be a residual hope that the increasingly well-known Article 50 (the procedure for leaving the EU) won’t be triggered: but there’s no great point in holding out for that, especially as I wouldn’t have to act if that turns out to be the case.

    If Britain really does start to extricate itself from the EU, I’ll presumably have to start acting - so I should start planning soon or risk falling into the same “dreamland trap” as the politicians. It will most likely involve looking to apply for a European (Irish or German) passport and finding out how my status in Germany will change over time.

    But that’s all for the future. For now I need to strip out as much of the first three feelings that I mentioned at the top of this post - frustration, disbelief, anger - and settle to a state of vaguely positive curiosity as to how things will turn out.

    This will mean reading as little as possible about the politicians (the Boris Johnsons, Michael Goves, Iain Duncan-Smiths and F*****s of this world), forgetting as much as possible the geographic and demographic divides that this referendum revealed, and hoping that the British “Apparat”, the civil servants, regulators, negotiators and the like, are as good as they might reasonably be expected to be when entering discussions with their European, American, Chinese counterparts…

    … or am I selling myself yet another dream?

    → 11:00 PM, Jun 26
  • Bremain Perspectives


    A note to my friends and contacts in the UK

    Don't leave me stranded on the Continent...!

    If there have been any verifiable facts in the debate over Britain's referendum to stay in or to leave Europe to its own devices, I missed them. It's all (up to the lamentable murder of Jo Cox, MP) been an ever more unedifying and frankly embarrassing spectacle of bellowings, bawlings and balderdash ratcheting down to the lowest common denominator red-herrings of immigration and outliers on the EU regulations spectrum.

    So I can't and won't base my thoughts on any clear factual basis. What remain are feelings and conscience, which crystallise in and out as I change perspective. But whatever the perspective, my feelings and conscience compel me to ask you to vote "Remain", if only on the basis that I don't want my life made even more complicated than it already is.
    About me and my European friends

    I live and work in Germany. Nope, not in "Europe", but in Germany. Equally, an Italian friend of mine in Heidelberg didn't move from Europe to Europe for work - he's as Italian as he ever was, perhaps even more so now he's surrounded by barbarians. It's the old discussion I remember having at school, but sometimes it's totally worth remembering that Europe is as diverse as it ever has been, but thanks to 'Europe' our countries no longer have to go to war amongst themselves to express this diversity.

    My Perspectives

    Me being me, I can only describe some of my ways of looking at the whole theme of Europe. Your opinions and perspectives may diverge from mine. That's great! (just vote Remain, OK?)
    The automotive business perspective

    I work as an engineer in the automotive business - emphatically not as a vegetable-straightness worrier (or engine emissions regulator) in Brussels - and to me It doesn't get much clearer than this: Honda, Toyota, Nissan, Jaguar Land Rover and hundreds of suppliers don't want suddenly to be not in Europe. I'm guessing most other industries think similarly.

    I've seen talk that the UK would balance additional customs charges with Europe with the freedom to individually negotiate import duties with other global trading partners. But doesn't having a strong negotiating position somewhat depend on being large? There aren't many trading partners larger than the European Union. The EU is notoriously split inwardly on many issues and can never seem to give a straight answer: that's true and pertinent to the discussion - but is the United Kingdom of {England, Wales, Scotland} and Northern Ireland significantly more coherent than the EU?

    What about other non-EU countries? Switzerland? Japan? South Korea? They're doing OK, aren't they? That's true, and perhaps there are potential models for an "independent" Britain to look at: but we can do that from within the context of the EU (whose regulations we still have to meet in order to trade), especially as Britain still has the flexibility of Sterling (which is another theme altogether).

    The engineer's perspective

    Have there been any testable and disprovable theories in all of these discussions? No, and I accept that it would be unreasonable for us to expect too much of what is such a messily human, emotive, political theme. But an engineer should remain alert to the differences between a sub-optimal actuality and a much-improved dream.

    When we work on developing next-generation products, we create our theories, our models, our prototypes - and we test the hell out of them to discover their limits, to prove (or disprove) that their implementation would indeed result in a better world than what we have at present. Until then, we stick to what we know and have validated.

    What the Brexit campaigners seem to be doing is asking a whole union of disparate countries, regions and cultures (yes, that's Britain I'm talking about) to leap into a dream scenario that can't be modelled, simluated or trialled in advance.

    The engineer's way would be to build a smaller island just off the UK (like the now-famous Guernsey, for example), and exit that first, to test the waters. But I doubt the Johnsons or Farages of this world would have the patience or the funding for anything as long-term as that.

    Wasn't it the same when Britain entered the EU? An unknowable quantity? In one sense, yes, but Britain stood before two equally unsure paths: joining a new, peacable and ideologically appealing community, or staying away whilst the Empire crumbled. The benefits of joining the EU look to have been palpably clearer than of staying away. But perhaps Edward Heath and his government were wrong in 1973 whilst Boris Johnson et al are simply right... right?

    A family man's perspective

    I'm happy for my children to have British nationality and German passports, but my wife and I are mono-nationalities. I'm also very much in the lower quartile of the population when it comes to acceptance of bureaucracy - so for that reason, and because I don't want to be forced to apply for German nationality or to have to plod through ever increasingly baroque and rococo bureaucratic mazes just to stay where I am, thank you very much.

    A European sceptic's perspective

    The biggie with the EU is the democratic deficit. Did we vote for Donald Tusk and Herman van Rompuy? Oh, and I mentioned the word deficit, which has overwhelmingly ecomonic overtones. How badly has (whatever Europe actually is) handled the economic crisis, become overly sensitive to the proclivities of German voters? How embarrassing has the infighting over Syrian refugees been...?

    Wouldn't it be great to just say "stuff it" and to leave them to this monstrosity of a mess they've gotten themselves into? I can accept that that's a tempting thought - and a key reason for British governments to stumble time after time over this uneven, barely traversable terrain. Equally, I can see there having been a compelling reason for David Cameron to push to issue to the level it has reached now: similar to the Scottish referendum, it should be a once-in-a-generation "clear the air" initiative. I just wonder if Cameron realised how close this would come to being a severe miscalculation

    A Briton's perspective

    Finally, I'm still very much a Brit! Mine is no doubt a somewhat skewed relationship with my home country: I've been living away from it for nine years now. I despaired at the frothy celebrity culture, the seeming superficiality of what I saw in the media... And sometimes it takes chats with non-British people to remind me of the deep qualities embedded in our country. But I then just need to think of you, my family, friends and colleagues past and present to remember what we are: uniquely British in our upbringing, a welcome, if sometimes grating, addition to the uniquely unpinpointable European family.
    → 8:47 PM, Jun 20
  • Rosetta and her multifaceted stone

    Comet on 3rd August 2014 - ESA via Ars Technica
    Well, it's a stone of a few kilometers girth - but compared to the vastness of space, it's a stone, alright. And somehow, humans have managed to send a spacecraft to rendezvous with it. Incredible when you think about it - and almost incomprehensible!

    Here's a great article from Ars Technica summarising the rendezvous. Looking forward to the news in November, when the lander should tether Rosetta to the comet!
    → 10:00 PM, Aug 6
  • On Staying Engineer

    originally posted on one of my several now defunct blogs, called On Engineering, on the 12th February 2013

    Blogging about considering new jobs (and doing something about it) seems like a risky idea. Posts are by their nature open to the world, so conceivably my boss could read this.

    (Well, it’s inconceivable, really, but let’s go with it for now)

    What will he think?

    In my case, there’s nothing that he can’t have been inferred from previous discussions, so there’s nothing that could surprise my boss unduly were he to read this. For you, dear reader, there are hopefully some worthwhile thoughts in here - so read on, whilst I write on.

    It’s safe to say that I had a frustrating time at work in 2012, mostly for non-engineering reasons (resources, too many inputs and outputs, etc). I decided that a change of scenery would be a good way of clearing the decks and starting afresh, so I applied for a couple of new jobs.

    A seemingly attractive way of making the switch to a new company or even to a new industry was, I thought, to glide along the plane of least resistance, taking a training- and background-agnostic route. In my thinking, this route would take me towards Project Management.

    It’s not perhaps strictly true to say background-agnostic. Project Managers are often handed the role from within another, and that’s what happened to me at various stages in my career - so I can show a Project Management history: nominally, I am in any case a project manager right now. It forms part of my job title (the other words being “Development Engineer and-"). Whilst I officially combine the roles I also tend to fulfil both roles simultaneously (Project Manager, manage thyself!), which has added to the frustrations I have felt of late.

    We were also given project management training a while back. It was in itself quite inspirational and I came top of the class in the tests at the end of it. So, in essence, Project Management is something I can do, more or less without really thinking about it - in fact, what else do I do other than manage projects? Every single task I have, be it “engineering” or “not”, is part of a project, big or small. I do have to force myself to do things like pick up the phone (I’m much more of an emailer or short messenger than a caller), but overall I can work with others and others seem to be able to accept working with (sometimes for) me.

    I got invited to some interviews.

    Both were within the automotive sector, so I wasn’t going to be changing industry, but I would be changing technologies - glass and engine products were the general themes.

    And therein lay the rub with me wanting to switch via the PM route: I thought the technologies would be cool, not the job. You see, what happened in both interviews was something like this:

    Interviewer, after some preamble: “Imagine the scenario that a task within one of your projects is delayed. What do you do?”

    Me (brain whirring, thinking…): Um, what can I say to this that could possibly be interesting? I’d have to talk to the guy whose task it is, see if I can chivvy him up a bit. Talk to his manager, talk to the customer, see if we can delay - oh, this is all so dull!

    Me (aloud): Well, we could, umm, talk to the person responsible for the task (etc)

    Me (body language): help! I’m floundering here and both I and my interviewer have lost interest in what I’m saying. He’s staring out of the window, I’m staring at him for some kind of positive reaction…

    And so on. Yet within the same interview I had to field some engineering-type questions:

    Interviewer: What do you think could be the potential technical difficulties involved in developing this kind of product?

    Me (internally): Yes! Easy score here

    Me (aloud): Well, there’s the material selection, the coatings, how to apply them within undoubtedly very tight tolerances, how to withstand heat without distortion that would…

    Me (body language): Hands waving, leaning forward, engaging the interviewer - more, please!

    In the end, I have to realise that I am by nature an engineer, with everything that that entails: all the coolest development work, all the dullest admin stuff and everything in between. Anything else (commercial, purchasing, quality) would mean going against my own grain.

    The only question remaining, then, is: can I become an engineering manager? From the aspect of organisation and team working, data access and transfer, deciding on what’s right for the product and for the company - yes. From the aspect of dealing with stroppy employees, an ever-increasing email and travel load, and becoming ever more involved in company politics (whichever company that may be) - who knows. But that discovery is for another day.

    Have you transitioned away from pure engineering? Have you made the step up to management - either successfully or stressfully? Let us know in your comments!

    → 6:25 PM, Feb 12
  • On Engineering

    On somewhat of a spur of the moment thought over the Christmas holidays, I ended up starting a blog that will focus on my thoughts and observations on engineering; it is what I spend a fairly large amount of my time doing, after all.

    It’s here.

    Have a look in, though it’s fairly unbaked at the moment!

    → 12:07 AM, Jan 16
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